Fiscal and Enrollment Implications of Medicaid Continuous Coverage Requirement During and After the PHE Ends

This analysis projects enrollment growth through the end of FY 2022. It examines how much of the enrollment growth can be attributed to baseline, or expected enrollment increases without the pandemic, and how much to the MOE continuous enrollment requirement during the PHE. We explore the costs tied to MOE enrollment growth, estimate how much fiscal relief was provided to states through the enhanced FMAP, and describe scenarios for enrollment going forward.
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